Historical teaching case · prepared as of 2026-07-31 · not maintained to track the company · educational material, not investment advice · capital at risk
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
$356
·
$4.36tn
MIFP
open
implied
18.5%
base
$341
-4.1%
market-implied
Expectations
Open
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
Communication Services
·
USD
·
OM-3
·
FY2025 base
·
as of 2026-07-31
Compounder
Med conviction
Margin pressure
Execution risk
Ai cycle priced
What the market expects
MIFP
Open
model not yet priced out
Implied growth
18.5%
rev CAGR priced in
Implied op margin
35.9%
year-5 priced in
Market price
$356
mcap $4.36tn
The analyst answers
Base case
$341
-4.1% vs mkt
Upside
$495
+39.1%
Downside
$190
-46.6%
The reading path
01
Expectations
What the share price already assumes.
02
Scenario lab
Put your own odds on the risk space.
Overview
The market
Expectations
Yours
Scenario lab