Revenue by segment, in millions. Select a row to edit its growth path — the group row opens every segment.
| Segment | FY26A | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 | FY32 | FY33 | FY34 | FY35 | FY36 | FY37 | FY38 | FY39 | FY40 | FY41 | FY42 | FY43 | growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apparel | 32,802 | 34,114 | 35,990 | 38,258 | 40,668 | 43,108 | 45,608 | 48,254 | 51,052 | 54,013 | 57,146 | 60,461 | 63,967 | 67,677 | 71,603 | 75,756 | 80,150 | 84,798 | 5.6% |
| Home | 6,933 | 7,176 | 7,534 | 7,949 | 8,386 | 8,830 | 9,298 | 9,791 | 10,310 | 10,857 | 11,432 | 12,038 | 12,676 | 13,348 | 14,055 | 14,800 | 15,585 | 16,411 | 5.0% |
| Telecoms | 1,691 | 1,852 | 2,009 | 2,160 | 2,311 | 2,461 | 2,609 | 2,765 | 2,931 | 3,107 | 3,294 | 3,491 | 3,701 | 3,923 | 4,158 | 4,407 | 4,672 | 4,952 | 7.8% |
| Financial Services | 947 | 980 | 1,029 | 1,086 | 1,145 | 1,208 | 1,275 | 1,345 | 1,419 | 1,497 | 1,579 | 1,666 | 1,758 | 1,855 | 1,957 | 2,064 | 2,178 | 2,298 | 5.0% |
| Central Services | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0.0% |
| NKD (Europe) | 0 | 14,500 | 15,225 | 15,986 | 16,786 | 17,625 | 18,506 | 19,431 | 20,403 | 21,423 | 22,494 | 23,619 | 24,800 | 26,040 | 27,342 | 28,709 | 30,144 | 31,652 | — |
| Group revenue | 42,399 | 58,648 | 61,814 | 65,464 | 69,322 | 73,259 | 77,323 | 81,613 | 86,142 | 90,923 | 95,971 | 101,301 | 106,928 | 112,868 | 119,141 | 125,763 | 132,754 | 140,136 | 11.6% |
Operating margin, per cent of revenue by segment; the blended margin is computed. Tax and reinvestment follow below; the terminal assumptions sit on the premises panel.
| Line | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 | FY32 | FY33 | FY34 | FY35 | FY36 | FY37 | FY38 | FY39 | FY40 | FY41 | FY42 | FY43 | avg margin | Long-run |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apparel — operating margin | 13.0 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.1% | 13.2% |
| Home — operating margin | 9.1 | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.5% | 9.8% |
| Telecoms — operating margin | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Financial Services — operating margin | 49.6 | 50.5 | 51.5 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 51.1% | 52.0% |
| Central Services — operating margin | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2% | -1.2% |
| NKD (Europe) — operating margin | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 6.5% | 7.0% |
| Blended operating margin | 11.2 | 11.3 | 11.5 | 11.6 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 11.5% | — |
Cash tax as a share of operating profit; capital spend and working capital as net investment per unit of new sales — the rate the model charges against each year's revenue growth. Select a row to edit its annual path.
| Line | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 | FY32 | FY33 | FY34 | FY35 | FY36 | FY37 | FY38 | FY39 | FY40 | FY41 | FY42 | FY43 | Long-run driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash tax rate | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 27.5% |
| Capital spend | 2.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Working capital | 1.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
Computed from the sections above and the premises panel — nothing here is editable. The walk runs to the highlighted crossover column — the first year the assumptions justify today's market price — and out to the 25-year ceiling when they never do, growing and shrinking as edits move the crossover.
| Millions unless stated | FY27 | FY28 | FY29 | FY30 | FY31 | FY32 | FY33 | FY34 | FY35 | FY36 | FY37 | FY38 | FY39 | FY40 | FY41 | FY42 | FY43 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | |||||||||||||||||
| Group revenue | 58,648 | 61,814 | 65,464 | 69,322 | 73,259 | 77,323 | 81,613 | 86,142 | 90,923 | 95,971 | 101,301 | 106,928 | 112,868 | 119,141 | 125,763 | 132,754 | 140,136 |
| Revenue growth | 38.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Operating profit | |||||||||||||||||
| Operating profit | 6,545 | 7,004 | 7,511 | 8,032 | 8,565 | 9,046 | 9,554 | 10,091 | 10,658 | 11,257 | 11,889 | 12,558 | 13,264 | 14,010 | 14,797 | 15,630 | 16,509 |
| Operating margin | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% |
| Taxes | 1,800 | 1,926 | 2,065 | 2,209 | 2,355 | 2,488 | 2,627 | 2,775 | 2,931 | 3,096 | 3,270 | 3,453 | 3,648 | 3,853 | 4,069 | 4,298 | 4,540 |
| Operating profit after tax | 4,745 | 5,078 | 5,445 | 5,823 | 6,210 | 6,558 | 6,927 | 7,316 | 7,727 | 8,161 | 8,620 | 9,104 | 9,616 | 10,157 | 10,728 | 11,332 | 11,969 |
| Cash flow | |||||||||||||||||
| Investment | 569 | 516 | 595 | 629 | 642 | 662 | 699 | 738 | 779 | 823 | 869 | 917 | 968 | 1,022 | 1,079 | 1,140 | 1,203 |
| Free cash flow | 4,177 | 4,562 | 4,850 | 5,195 | 5,568 | 5,896 | 6,228 | 6,578 | 6,948 | 7,338 | 7,751 | 8,187 | 8,648 | 9,135 | 9,649 | 10,192 | 10,766 |
| Returns | terminal return on new capital 13.8% | ||||||||||||||||
| Reinvestment rate | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Return on new capital — incremental ROIC | — | 64.4% | 61.7% | 60.1% | 60.2% | 52.7% | 52.7% | 52.7% | 52.7% | 52.8% | 52.8% | 52.8% | 52.9% | 52.9% | 52.9% | 53.0% | 53.0% |
| Present value | |||||||||||||||||
| Discounted free cash flow | 3,670 | 3,522 | 3,291 | 3,097 | 2,917 | 2,715 | 2,520 | 2,338 | 2,170 | 2,014 | 1,870 | 1,736 | 1,611 | 1,495 | 1,388 | 1,288 | 1,196 |
| Cumulative present value | 3,670 | 7,193 | 10,484 | 13,581 | 16,498 | 19,213 | 21,732 | 24,071 | 26,241 | 28,256 | 30,126 | 31,861 | 33,472 | 34,967 | 36,355 | 37,643 | 38,839 |
| Implied equity value | 29,138 | 30,750 | 32,305 | 33,695 | 34,933 | 35,853 | 36,706 | 37,498 | 38,234 | 38,916 | 39,551 | 40,139 | 40,686 | 41,194 | 41,664 | 42,102 | 42,508 |